New york +5.5 and The ML +210

Well after a break, this no games on monday and sometimes wednesdays throws me off. the line movement has been very crazy the last few days between NBA and NHL being over. The lines have crazy swings but this day is stranger than usual and then you add the recent articles on how profitable wnba betting is. It makes you wonder








Seattle and Indiana these are two teams that can play defense and clamp down on a team but 3 of their last 5 games have gone. The total has risen from 146 to 148.5. I am taking a wait and see approach if it hits 150 im going under

Phoenix San Antonio have a history of playing very high scoring game that the total is 179.5 and rising. Im debating on the over

Liberty Dream Over 167 now down to 164

Honestly this is a game where i wouldnt take either side and As far as totals Atlanta has burned me so many times last season on unders in this range. I would play the over or nothing at all and im not sure about that. Atlanta has improved by bringing in a scoring point guard , but they always have had a problem in the post. They beat New york in the finals, and I played the liberty because they had a post presence in Janel McCarville, she gave the dream problems on the inside and wasnt there in the lane. McCarville had an ankle injury and missed the Confrence finals and she was 14 and 8 per game player.The dream has problems with a large post presence. Atlanta drives alot because they were one of the worst 3 point shooting teams in the WNBA. Liberty had the most improved player in Leilani mitchell, nicole Powell i think she was an all-star in Sacramento. Sacramento is where the Liberty's new coach previously coached before the Malouf's folded the team. thats my take

Some notes to look at for today the first shady finish of the season occurred : Phoenix had rallied to cut the lead to 5 and tried to foul Seattle, someone reached in the ref didnt call it and play just stopped and seattle got a layup. phoenix rushes a 3 and mercury cover by a .5
Why was jia perkins shooting a 3 up 19 with 33 seconds left and 13 seconds left on the clock.

Tomorrow Liberty/Dream Over 167

the dream are going to push the pace and plenty of shots will go up in this game. Im just hoping enough fall.The dream finally have a scoring point guard.The liberty have a new coach, I wonder will he change the philosophy , but i think Cappie is going to push the tempo right along with the dream

Tomororow Lynx/Sparks Over 154.5

the teams play a moderate pace and ended up at 156. the teams already played on friday, I expect a similar pace and like a score very close to the other night.

Lynx/ sparks

Because of the short preseason and few exhibitions games. the under would be the play because this is opening night. Im going with 2units on under 158. The sparks have an older starting lineup and would be more apt to play a little slower. these are not the run and gun Lynx of the past before 2010 the over was 64-26 in lynx games. There will be just enough missed shots to keep this game under

The Other 6 things

Minnesota Lynx- besides drafting Maya Moore can this team stay healthy, young and talented. Can they stay healthy to make the playoffs for the 1st time since 2004.Most importantly can they improve their interior defense.
http://www.wnba.com/features/preview2011_lynx.html

Phoenix Mercury same style of play and have brought in a few interior players to improve their rebounding and challenge Seattle. Braxton and dupree have had time to adapt to the Mercury's uptempo system.
http://www.wnba.com/features/preview2011_mercury.html

San antonio change in coaches, but Jane Appel is injured to start the season, they have strength on the perimeter. Becky hammon and they acquired Jia Perkins from Chicago.
http://www.wnba.com/features/preview2011_silverstars.html

tulsa shock should be better than 6-28, and Elizabeth Cambage should provide instant help to the shock. the sudden drop in odds on the Shock from 25 to 1, do bettors know the shock signed a 40 yr old Sheryl Swoopes not one oin her prime. The system and talent is not a good mesh.
http://www.wnba.com/features/preview2011_shock.html

Los Angeles the return of Candace Parker from injury will help a depleted frontcourt, but they will depend a lot on veterans.
http://www.wnba.com/features/preview2011_sparks.html

Seattle the favorite to repeat as champions, Lauren Jackson has recovered from an achilles injury suffered playing in russia during the offseason, without her the storm are a totally different team.
http://www.wnba.com/features/preview2011_storm.html

12 things for the 2011 WNBA season

!2 team league and these are some notes on the Eastern Confrence

Atlanta Dream acquired Lyndsey Harding, whose a top flight point guard when healthy. That was the one thing that they really needed to help facilitate theyre uptempo system.

Chicago Sky have a new coach in Pokey Chatman, she was Sylvia fowles college coach and was involved with Simone Augustus. but they resigned erin thorn whose 3pt shooting keeps defenses honest

Connecticut Sun are a young team on the rise and acquired yet another uconn player in Kalana Green.

Indiana Fever let a couple of starters leave and are trying Briann January at point guard. Maybe changing a few faces from alongtime lineup may be a good thing

New York Liberty change in coaches from Anne donavan and Carol Blazekowski to John Whisenant the former Sacramento Gm and Coach, will there be a change in offensive philosophy from the uptempo system Anne Donovan wanted.

Washington Mystics changed coaches Julie foudy stated from day one she wanted to play at a faster pace. She isno longer the coach and they have made anumber of changes with only 1 starter returning but Alana Beard is back

Some team preview links

http://www.wnba.com/features/preview2011_mercury.html

Season is about start

The most recent odds that i have seen has Seattle +275 to win the championship. The thing I noticed is that the Minnesota Lynx were +900 and all the value in that number is gone. The Lynx have not had a healthy season in a few years and havent been in the playoffs since 2004. The Mercury at +900 may be the best value but the number on the Tulsa shock has dropped in the past few days from +2500 to +1500. The Shock signed Sheryl Swoopes out of retirement not in her prime and I wonder did the bettors know that.