Pick Monitor

Thursday, May 31, 2012

Mystics-Sky Preview - Yahoo! Sports

Mystics-Sky Preview - Yahoo! Sports

Lynx-Sun Preview - Yahoo! Sports

Lynx-Sun Preview - Yahoo! Sports

Phoenix Mercury guard Diana Taurasi will be out indefinitely with a strained left hip flexor

Mercury guard Diana Taurasi will be out indefinitely with a strained left hip flexor, the club announced today. Taurasi did not travel with the team to Atlanta for tonight’s contest against the Eastern Conference defending Dream. She will be re-evaluated daily.
Taurasi sustained the injury during the 2012 WNBA training camp after reporting just seven days before the season opener following a full Eurolegue season in Turkey and training camp with USA Basketball. She missed the season opener at Minnesota due to the injury and played just 10 minutes at Tulsa in the team’s second game. She played 26 minutes and scored 18 points in Phoenix’s home opener loss to Los Angeles.
Tonight’s game against Atlanta will be broadcast on FOX Sports Arizona with tipoff scheduled for 4 p.m. PT. Phoenix plays in San Antonio Friday against the Silver Stars before returning home for a rematch with the Tulsa Shock on Sunday at 3 p.m.
 hoopfeed.com got from phoenix mercury pr

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

WNBA Power Rankings: A Brief Look At Winless New York, Seattle,

WNBA Power Rankings: A Brief Look At Winless New York, Seattle,

WNBA.com: Lynx at Mystics Game Info - May 30, 2012

 
Lynx  v Mystics
I really mean the Washington Mistakes, in 2010 they were 22-12 and finished 1st in the east. Then the franchise went cheap and wanted a Coach/GM and their coach just wanted to be the  coach  and was fired and then they traded their 2011 first round pick to the Lynx . The pick was Maya Moore and their coach Trudi Lacey, is very likely the worst coach in the league. The Mistakes are turnover prone facing a good defensive team The Mistakes was broken up and its Crystal Langhorne , Matee Ajavon and not much else. The Mystics are shooting 22.7% from 3pt range and giving up 40.8 % from behind the arc. The Mistakes are averaging 60 ppg, and that’s the lowest in the league. The Lynx as I have stated before are 9-10, have great team chemistry, play good defense, have 5/6 players that can score in double figures. The Lynx  are shooting 50.9% from the floor and 44.2% from the floor. That’s




WNBA.com: Lynx at Mystics Game Info - May 30, 2012

WNBA.com: Sky at Silver Stars Game Info - May 30, 2012

WNBA.com: Sky at Silver Stars Game Info - May 30, 2012

Monday, May 28, 2012

The Day - Montgomery isn't comfortable sitting | News from southeastern Connecticut

The Day - Montgomery isn't comfortable sitting | News from southeastern Connecticut

The Liberty go 0-3 to start the season - New York Amsterdam News: Sports

The Liberty go 0-3 to start the season - New York Amsterdam News: Sports

Are the shock improved

After the Tulsa Shock's 88-79 loss in their home opener, Silver Stars coach Dan Hughes said, "this is a much improved Tulsa team that we dealt with today."
Given that they are 0-2 to start the season for the third year in a row, the compliment is at least partially a testament to the faith that fans, media, and opposing coaches alike have in new Shock coach Gary Kloppenburg. But what evidence might there be that the Tulsa Shock have put together a roster that can exceed last season's performance or even the performance in their inaugural year?
Star-divide

Most significant departure

Click here for an explanation of this framework and here for our statistics glossary.
Wnba_2011tulsa_pvcpie_html_3ed995ae_medium
2011 Shock players that contributed more than 2% to the team's overall production are labeled on the pie chart.
Miranda Ayim and Jacinta Monroe are not shown above.
When considering the question of whether the Shock even can improve this season, it's impossible not to begin with what they lost from last year.
They were aware that 6'8" center Liz Cambage would be out for at least half the season due to her commitment to Australia for the 2012 Olympics when they drafted her, so that wasn't much of a surprise. When they actually found out about forward Tiffany Jackson's intentions to sit out for the season due to pregnancy is unclear, but their offseason moves suggest that they might have known enough to fill those minutes in the post with new players.
While those two were their two most significant contributors, what might have gone unnoticed is that Sheryl Swoopes was actually a major contributor to the Shock in her comeback last season - Swoopes was the team's third most significant contributor statistically.
The primary reason for that was that she got a lot of minutes once coach Teresa Edwards took over for Nolan Richardson above mid-season whereas both Cambage and Kayla Pedersen saw their minutes decline after Edwards took over - they were two of the most efficient rookies in the league in the first month of play and then just fell off. But the second reason why Swoopes rated so highly was that she was the second most efficient distributor on the team with a pure point rating of 0.64, which is noteworthy because it's above league average on a team that wasn't a very efficient ball handling team.
The most efficient distributor on the team last year, Amber Holt (1.10 PPR), was also released after training camp this season. Although she was only responsible for 7% of the team's overall production, she missed 8 games - close to a quarter of the 34-game season - due to injury and was a major part of the team's late-season performance.
Taking those four losses into account, the Shock lost almost two thirds of their production from last season. And not just any two thirds, but arguably their four best performers. That becomes even more significant when looking at the team's overall performance last season.

2011 Season In Review

eFg%

Fta/Fga Oreb% Tov%
Tulsa Shock
43.53%
28.55%
26.79%
19.46%
Opp
52.78%
31.45%
27.59%
16.48%










Weighted differentials
eFg% fta/fga Oreb% Tov%
Tulsa
-0.93
-0.06
-0.03
-0.25
Four Factors differentials for the Shock and their opponents in 2011.
As you can see in the table above - or, of course, from observation alone - the Shock didn't play particularly good basketball last season.
And that makes it hard to say what their most significant loss was. They lost their two most efficient ball handlers scorers (Cambage and Jackson), and top rebounders (Cambage and Jackson). So where could they even begin?
The reality is they couldn't really get worse in shooting efficiency or turnover rate relative to their opponents - they were already at the bottom of the conference. But Tulsa was about average in their rebounding ability (49.6% total rebounding percentage is .4% less than league average) so the loss of Cambage and Jackson is significant in that they lost the one thing that they could leverage as a strength.
Obviously, the Shock needed to just add talent to their roster regardless of position. But with their draft selections, they clearly looked to fill that rebounding void.

Shock rookies

Rookies
S
P
I
Projected WNBA Style
Glory Johnson
13%
18%
96%
IP
Riquna Williams
88.10%
67.50%
12.90%
SP
Lynetta Kizer
64.10%
19.40%
62.50%
IP
Projected SPI Playing Style for Shock rookies based upon 2011-12 NCAA statistics
When the Shock drafted Vicki Baugh, Glory Johnson, and Lynetta Kizer, it was clear that they were concerned about the void left in the post by Cambage and Jackson.
We've already taken a look at what Johnson - as well as Riquna Williams - might offer a WNBA team here, but Kizer is a bit more of an uncertainty - she didn't start for Maryland in her senior year and her numbers weren't overwhelming, but she clearly had some athleticism that could potentially make her someone that could hold her own at the WNBA level. Her 12.2% offensive rebounding percentage in particular bodes well for helping to replace some of that rebounding energy at some point during the season.
If this season is about the future, Johnson and Kizer offer options for eventually creating a strong post rotation while at least being able to compete on the boards in the absence of Cambage and Jackson. How they negotiate that logjam once they return next season remains to be seen, but those two rookies do have time to prove themselves and earn a spot as part of the team's vision for the future.

New Shock veterans

New veterans
SPI Style
Min/G
VCR
TS%
Tov%
Oreb%
FTR
Usg%
Value Added
4-yr RAPM
Scholanda Dorrell
S
16.18
0.49 <
43.87 <
9.25 >
2.01 <
28.39 >
17.25
-1.89
-1.1
Temeka Johnson
DU
23.90
0.76 <
53.43 =
15.46 >
1.53 <
12.94 <
14.32
1.52
-0.2
Jene Morris *
SP
7.83
0.41 <
53.47 >
17.64 <
2.73 <
3.03 <
23.38
-1.25
-0.5
2011 statistics for Shock's new veterans.
* Morris did not play in the WNBA in 2011.
But the Shock didn't ignore their ball handling struggles and traded scoring guard Andrea Riley to the Phoenix Mercury for Temeka Johnson this offseason.
And that might be the most significant addition of any this season. Johnson is not only a veteran presence, but was also the third most efficient distributor in the WNBA last season (4.32 PPR). That alone is a huge change for the Shock who have not had an efficient point guard yet during their brief time in Tulsa - it should help improve their efficiency on offense.
But the other thing that Johnson - as well as Jene Morris - add to the roster is some scoring efficiency. Both are also efficient scorers relative to their style of play - and solid 3-point shooters, as is Scholanda Dorrell, who is returning to the Shock after a year with the San Antonio Silver Stars - which helps address their poor shooting efficiency differential.

2012 Outlook

Returners
SPI Style
Min/G
VCR
TS%
Tov%
Oreb%
FTR
Usg
Value Added
4-yr RAPM
Elizabeth Cambage **
IP
19.98
1.73 >
58.63 >
18.81 <
9.88 >
53.82 >
27.90
-1.69
0.3
Kayla Pedersen
M
23.76
1.14 >
50.50 >
13.01 >
3.85 <
27.14 <
15.41
0.50
-2.1
Ivory Latta
SP
28.52
1.02 >
51.10 >
15.95 <
1.76 <
17.67 <
23.72
-4.30
-3.2
Jennifer Lacy
M
19.22
0.82 <
49.03 =
16.88 <
5.36 <
14.71 <
18.73
-1.74
-3.1
Karima Christmas
M
9.96
0.68 <
47.23 <
18.00 <
7.82 >
48.86 >
19.50
-1.17
2
Chante Black *
IU

20.9

0.80 <

51.23 >

18.25 <

13.2 >

32.88 <

15.14

4.14

-1.9
2011 statistics for Shock returners.
* Black did not play in the WNBA in 2011.
** Will not play until after the Olympic break.
*** Tiffany Jackson will not play in 2012.
Strengths
  • Rebounding: Chante Black was not listed among the new veterans because she didn't play last year due to injury, but did play for the Shock in 2010. But when you combine Black with the other new post additions, the Shock should be able to remain competitive on the boards - Black was 5th in the league in offensive rebounding percentage (13.2%) and 8th in defensive rebounding percentage (23.6%) when she last played. If Pedersen can improve her rebounding with more consistent minutes and Johnson or Kizer can contribute on the boards, it's not impossible to imagine them matching last year's rebounding rate or improving.
  • Versatility: One thing that really stands out about this roster - not at all ignoring their poor performance last year - is that their new additions have made them a very versatile team, especially if Cambage returns after the Olympics. The player that really stands out in that regard is Pedersen, who has proven that she can be a well above average distributor for her position, which could help the team in their effort to cut down on turnovers. But they also have a mix of efficient scorers (Latta and Morris both had above average true shooting percentages relative to other scorers in their last seasons) and 3-point shooters, efficient distributors relative to style of play, potentially strong rebounders, and a few defenders. Multiple players would have to develop quickly to pick themselves up out of the cellar this season, but they're a step closer than they were before just in terms of style of play.
Questions:
  • How much can Johnson alone help the turnover situation? It's doubtful that the Shock go from where they were last season to an efficient ball handling team, but just having a player who can get the ball in the hands of scorers in the right spots should help immensely. If they want to run, Johnson is obviously a point guard who can lead an uptempo offense given her time with the Mercury.
  • How much can they improve defensively? Their one defensive strength last season was stopping second chance points and they lost a major presence on the interior in Cambage. The combination of players they've brought in might be sufficient to replace that, but it's hard to say for sure. On the perimeter, Dorrell and possibly Williams could be difference makers in terms of applying pressure. We also know that Kloppenburg has a defensive pedigree and that could go a long way to helping them. Again, the question here isn't about whether they'll be good, but whether they'll be better and the likely answer is yes.
  • How well does this roster complement Cambage and vice versa? As evidenced from her numbers above, Cambage demonstrated a lot of potential last season and the Olympics might be our first opportunity to really see how far she's come and whether she can truly be the centerpiece that carries a team in the future. What the Shock have assembled is a roster that gives them some flexibility moving forward in terms of complementing Cambage. Black's VCR suggests that she's probably best as a 20 minute-per-game player, so she can help back up a starting center. Johnson and Pedersen are two very different power forward options that can be played with Cambage depending on what her strengths and weaknesses are. A distributor on the wing would have helped this team immensely in terms of becoming a more fluid offense, but they've put together pieces that make sense thus far.
Breakout player
It might be weird to say Latta is a candidate to breakout, but she has not posted an above average PER (above 15) in her career and hit a career-low 12.8 last season. And the revamped rotation could help her a bit.
Ivory Latta might be the player that benefits most from the arrival of Temeka Johnson in that she won't be relied upon as the lead ball handler. Similar to the way the Connecticut Sun are using Renee Montgomery this season, Latta could be freed to focus more on scoring this season coming off the bench to give a scoring boost.

2012 projection: 2013 WNBA Lottery

There are some that will judge the Shock harshly if they don't win more games this season, but that's probably not the best way to judge a team that will struggle to challenge for a playoff spot even if they optimized their talent - there are still too many gaps in the roster to expect the playoffs. They're better off seeing this as a development year for the future rather than sacrificing opportunities to develop talent for the future in hopes of greater success in the present (as they pursued last season in adding and playing veterans.
The only way to measure success for the Shock this year is by way of improvement rather than wins and losses, which makes those Four Factors numbers above - process-based performance metrics rather than outcomes-based - more relevant to them than any other team. Any roster moves they made had to be with the future in mind and it appears they have made modest moves that have put them in a good decision to build a competitive team in the future. Right now, that future has to include at least Cambage and possibly Jackson, which gives them something they haven't really had since their first year: talented assets.
The 2013 WNBA Draft holds options for a team like the Shock: if they wish to add a distributor for the future, both Skylar Diggins and Angel Goodrich will be available. Elena Delle Donne might not be an immediately obvious fit for a team with Cambage, but that would give them a potent inside-outside combination that would be tough to defend. Brittney Griner would be the big prize and is not a fit with Cambage, but then the question is do you really pass on a defensive presence like Griner in favor of Cambage?
Those draft questions will be answered over the next year, but they've put pieces in place now that might have helped them fill some gaps that kept them from being competitive last season while also building for the future.
For more on what all of these statistics mean, visit our statistics glossary.

this is from swishappeal.com and using to teast a feature on a blog only

Trying out something on the blog

The New York Liberty hoped a return to Madison Square Garden for their season opener would launch them to a pair of victories over division rival Connecticut. Instead the Liberty dropped a pair of games to the Sun, 78-73 at home on Saturday, and a more disappointing 92-77 game on the road on Sunday.



While New York entered the fourth quarter on Saturday with a seven-point lead only to lose by five, on Sunday a nine-point lead after one quarter was quickly erased by the Sun, who outscored the Liberty 29-16 in the second quarter.
Depth seemed to be one of the Liberty’s strong points, with nine players capable of earning strong minutes. But, at least for the first weekend, the team lacked chemistry on the court. Only Cappie Pondexter, the do-everything All-Star guard averaged thirty minutes per game, and it appeared that coach John Whisenant was struggling to come up with combinations that succeeded.
Playing two games in two days to start the season is extremely difficult, but the Sun seemed to adapt much better than the Liberty.
While Whisenant clearly was making sure he did not overuse any particular player on Sunday, an early concern has to be the fact that veteran players brought in this season, such as DeMya Walker and Kelly Miller, seemed to take away minutes at crucial times from the younger players that helped put the team in the playoffs last season. Kia Vaughn, last season’s Most Improved Player, only averaged 16 minutes this weekend (Walker played 15 minutes per game) and Leilani Mitchell 23 minutes (Miller played 16 minutes). Similarly, when Nicole Powell was struggling (two-for-eight shooting in each game), Essence Carson, who has played very well against Connecticut in the past, only saw twenty minutes of time.
Plenette Pierson was extremely effective, putting in sixteen on seven-for-nine shooting, operating both down low and also from the high post with sweeping drives down the lane. Kara Braxton had a great first half, hitting all three of her shots, but was only two-for-seven in the second half.
After the Sun dominated the second quarter, mostly from the foul line, to take the lead, the Liberty came out to start the second half determined to go inside, as Braxton, Vaughn, and Walker took nine of the team’s sixteen shots. Unfortunately, this meant Pondexter and Pierson, the two best scoring options only had one shot each, and any chance to turn around the game vanished with their lack of attempts.
Any Whisenant team is going to take pride in their defense, and the Liberty held Connecticut to 42 percent shooting on Sunday, after holding them to 40 percent on Saturday.
However the offensive end, notably the rotations and the shot attempts, needs improvement in order for the team to survive this very difficult stretch of games they have upcoming, with Minnesota, Indiana and Atlanta looming.

This article is at hoopfeed.com and testing it on 

Shock Spark Writeup

Tulsa has some major interior issues Tiffany Jackson their leading scorer and rebounder will miss the season because she is expecting. Liz Cambage is with the australian national team until after the olympics. The Shock are shooting 37% from the floor as a team and usually play 3 guards due to their lack of size. LA with the return of Candace Parker and some offseason signings and the #1 pick in the draft that have bolstered the roster are completely different team from last season. The sparks inside presence will give the shock problems and their effort on defense will definitely limit Tulsa Offensively. This is a game that I can see getting out of hand and LA's bench backing off to keep it to a 79-61 type score

Nike Air Flight '89 Men's Shoes - Black, 10


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 line.com/z00i4
</div>

Coach: Unbeaten Lynx need to improve | StarTribune.com

Nike Air Jordan Retro V.1 Men's Shoes - Black, 14

Coach: Unbeaten Lynx need to improve | StarTribune.com

WNBA: May 25 – May 27, 2012 efficiency leaders | Hoopfeed.com

WNBA: May 25 – May 27, 2012 efficiency leaders | Hoopfeed.com




Nike Air Jordan Retro V.1 Men's Shoes - Black, 14

Sunday, May 27, 2012

You can listen to the posts on either itunes or zune or others through this link



http://podcasts.odiogo.com/a-degenerate-bettors-wnba-blog/podcasts-html.php
The second weekend of the season has ended and the Liberty are still having chemistry issues and winless, a 26 point blowout by the Dream. The Mystics beat Tulsa who is still winless and have interior issues with Tiffany Jackson out for the year because of a pregnancy and Cambage may be back after the Olympics.
Tulsa has a Tuesday meeting with the Sparks, and they will be over matched in the frontcourt. The Lynx are looking like a repeat is definitely in their future. Indiana has started the season 3-0, and this is the first season in awhile that Catchings/Douglas/Sutton-Brown were in camp on time and not late arriving from Europe.
Chicago has now lost 5 of the last 6 versus Indiana after friday's 83-72 loss. The sun have now won 17 of their last 20 games at Mohegan sun Arena after defeating San antonio friday night.
My picks can be found at pregame.com and at line.com.
http://line.com/z00h8

Saturday, May 19, 2012

Lynx/Mercury and Sun/Liberty

Past plays has taught me one thing about betting Mercury games, dont let the numbers scare you totals in the 180's they were 7-4. The mercury are simply going to push the pace and run up and down the court and take as many shots as possible. Past history, between these two teams, the Mercury can get almost any team  into an up and down game in the WNBA except Seattle. The Mercury have never been a good defensive team, think Paul Westhead late 80's Loyola Marymount teams.


The Sun were 15-2 at home last season but struggled on the road last season, but  beat the liberty 3 out of 4 and won on opening day. Do the Liberty have enough of an inside presence to slow Tina Charles and Ashja Jones of the sun. Can the Liberty give Cappie Poindexter enough help to score enough points. 

Sun/Liberty Lean


Connecticut sun V New York Liberty   the line opened at the Liberty 1.5 point favorites and now they are 2 point underdogs. The sun beat them 3 of 4 last season, and won 96-81 in preseason  without Tina Charles playing . That meeting has convinced bettors to hit  the over hard as well the line has gone from 149.5 to 154.5 making this another no play for me the  steam on WNBA lines sometimes is really surprising. The Liberty didn’t really do a lot to help Cappie Poindexter. The sun have a clear advantage at center with Tina Charles, forward with recently named Olympian Ashja jones.  The Liberty are Cappie poindexter and little else. I like the Sun  and the over in this game  but the Line movement has scared me from making a play because it passed the number I wanted.

Friday, May 18, 2012

Sparks/Storm Preview and Pick

The Sparks have a new coach in Carol Ross, who was an assistant in Atlanta last season and I believe she will implement a system similar to the Dream. Ross shares a similar offensive philosophy to Gillom the coach for the Sparks who started last season. I think they will play an uptempo style but really want to wait and see. The Storm will be without Lauren jackson until after the Olympics and made several roster changes to get younger. The Storm were the WNBA's top under team at 22-11-1 last season but were also one of the lower scoring teams in the league. This game is going to be a wait and see for me, because   the sparks played faster without Candace Parker, but shes back and they added 4 new players. Wnba preseason finding a boxscore is hard to find sometimes, just try finding game footage. this is a huge pass for me on opening night.

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

WNBA.2012: Indiana Fever

WNBA.com: Season Preview 2012: Indiana Fever
The WNBa season will start friday night with LA and Seattle, not sure if i'll have a pick on that game it has a number of factors as to why I wouldnt play it at all. I will post my reasons later this week. My plays can be tracked here at . The site is free to sign up and its basically discussion and a tracking site you cant wager there and its free. My basketball numbers are listed under Jermaine Patrick and I have an e-book previewing the current season at Amazon, smashwords and other major e-book retailers.

Thursday, May 10, 2012

It has been a lot of links posted in the past week to stats, and articles, but thats how the WNBA seems to put out info a lot at the last minute and the preseason special will be on NBA TV on the 18th at 5cst/6 est

WNBA.com: Season Preview 2012: Mystics

WNBA.com: Season Preview 2012: Washington Mystics

Tuesday, May 8, 2012

The Degenerate Bettors 2012 WNBA Betting Guide is available on Kindle - WNBA,sportsbetting,gambling

The Degenerate Bettors 2012 WNBA Betting Guide is available on Kindle - WNBA,sportsbetting,gambling

WNBA.com: Season Preview 2012: Phoenix Mercury

WNBA.com: Season Preview 2012: Phoenix MercuryCanon EOS 60D 18-135mm IS Lens 18.0 MP Digital SLR 4460B004

WNBA.com: Season Preview 2012: Minnesota Lynx

WNBA.com: Season Preview 2012: Minnesota LynxSakar Hello Kitty Iphone 4S Hard Case

WNBA Mystics chat review

MYSTICS: 2012 Mystics Media Day Live Chat

Daily Twitter Digest for 05-07-2012

Hoopfeed Daily Twitter Digest for 05-07-2012

A daily roundup of stories from the WNBA and some college basketball mixed in