Another season starts and I have seen value in some early season mismatches. A little research on a big spread goes a long way
Monday, November 18, 2013
Back to betting
Monday, October 21, 2013
Youtube UserSurvey | Qualtrics Survey Software
Youtube UserSurvey | Qualtrics Survey Software: youtube user survey, video survey. This is my survey for my thesis research . I would appreciate it if you would complete it for me, it takes less than 2 minutes
Friday, September 6, 2013
Friday, July 19, 2013
Tuesday, July 2, 2013
Sunday, June 23, 2013
Wednesday, June 19, 2013
Trends
Before sunday the under was 19-3-1 this month, Im not sure if its because vegas has set the lines a little higher this season. the officials afre calling fewer fouls and free throws. The season has started earlier and right after the European season ends and the players get little rest between the seasons.
The Over has been 4-1 since father day, I hope the trend continues tomorrow. I like the Over 177 in the Lynx/Mercury. These two teams played recently and thetotal hit 178 and this was before Phoenix decided to return their organized chaos offense. Greiner's minutes have been limited due to a knee sprain and the offense has better flow with her off the floor for now. the Lynx are just highly efficient on offense that these two teams can easily get a 60-65 point quarter.
The Over has been 4-1 since father day, I hope the trend continues tomorrow. I like the Over 177 in the Lynx/Mercury. These two teams played recently and thetotal hit 178 and this was before Phoenix decided to return their organized chaos offense. Greiner's minutes have been limited due to a knee sprain and the offense has better flow with her off the floor for now. the Lynx are just highly efficient on offense that these two teams can easily get a 60-65 point quarter.
Saturday, June 8, 2013
Betting Trends
WNBA Trends - Season to Date
Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 7-13 35.00%
Home Teams 13-7 65.00%
Favorites 11-9 55.00%
Dogs 9-11 45.00%
Away Favorites 2-4 33.33%
Away Dogs 5-9 35.71%
Home Favorites 9-5 64.29%
Home Dogs 4-2 66.67%
Against The Spread Trends (ATS)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 8-12-0 40.00%
Home Teams 12-8-0 60.00%
Favorites 10-10-0 50.00%
Dogs 10-10-0 50.00%
Away Favorites 2-4-0 33.33%
Away Dogs 6-8-0 42.86%
Home Favorites 8-6-0 57.14%
Home Dogs 4-2-0 66.67%
Over vs. Under Trends
Category Overs Percent Unders Percent
Overtime Games 1 33.33% 2 66.67%
Non-Overtime Games 6 40.00% 9 60.00%
All Games 7 38.89% 11 61.11%
Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 7-13 35.00%
Home Teams 13-7 65.00%
Favorites 11-9 55.00%
Dogs 9-11 45.00%
Away Favorites 2-4 33.33%
Away Dogs 5-9 35.71%
Home Favorites 9-5 64.29%
Home Dogs 4-2 66.67%
Against The Spread Trends (ATS)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 8-12-0 40.00%
Home Teams 12-8-0 60.00%
Favorites 10-10-0 50.00%
Dogs 10-10-0 50.00%
Away Favorites 2-4-0 33.33%
Away Dogs 6-8-0 42.86%
Home Favorites 8-6-0 57.14%
Home Dogs 4-2-0 66.67%
Over vs. Under Trends
Category Overs Percent Unders Percent
Overtime Games 1 33.33% 2 66.67%
Non-Overtime Games 6 40.00% 9 60.00%
All Games 7 38.89% 11 61.11%
Sunday, June 2, 2013
2*Washington Mystics Over 164
http://www.wnba.com/games/20130602/ATLWAS/gameinfo.html#nbaGIlive
Atlanta
Over is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Dream last 4 Sunday games.
Over is 4-0 in Dream last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 4-1 in Dream last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 8-3 in Dream last 11 road games.
Washington
Over is 8-0 in Mystics last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 6-1 in Mystics last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-1 in Mystics last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Mystics last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Head to Head
Over is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
Dream are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
2*Tulsa Shock +16 -110
the shock despite being 12-59 SU, are 33-35-3 ATS in that same time frame.
http://www.wnba.com/games/20130602/TULCHI/gameinfo.html#nbaGIlive
Phoenix Mercury vs 1* Seattle Storm +10 and 3* OVER 162.5
The mercury only play one way that high tempo system and when they not making shots they get blown out easily. the way they defended and shot against the Sky, I cant see how they are a 10 point favorite against anyone. Penny Taylor is out strengthening her knee. The storm can be drawn into a running game with the Mercury and I think they can cover the 10. Because Phx doesnt defend anyone particularly well.
http://www.wnba.com/games/20130602/PHOSEA/gameinfo.html#nbaGIlive
the plays posted here are 3 and 0 on the season
Saturday, June 1, 2013
Friday, May 31, 2013
Thursday, May 30, 2013
Sunday, May 26, 2013
Sky-Mercury Preview
Few WNBA debuts have been as anticipated as those of Brittney Griner and Elena Delle Donne.
With many expecting them to help turn around their respective franchises, they'll begin their careers against each other Monday as Griner and the Phoenix Mercury host Delle Donne and the Chicago Sky.
Coming off the worst season in franchise history, the Mercury and their full-of-stars roster were expected to be back among the WNBA's elite teams this year.
The addition of Griner ratchets up expectations even more.
Throw the 6-foot-8 swatting and dunking center into the mix of what was already one of the league's most talented rosters and the Mercury aren't just a favorite to win their third WNBA title, they are THE favorite.
"Those are lofty expectations," Diana Taurasi said. "But you look around the locker room and we have some of the best players in the world, whether you've been in the league 10 years or whether it's your first week of training camp."
Last season was a forgettable one for the Mercury.
Penny Taylor, a three-time All-Star, missed the entire season after tearing her left ACL. Taurasi, the 2009 league and finals MVP, missed half of Phoenix's games due to injuries and the Olympic break. Candice Dupree, a three-time All-Star, missed 21 games with a knee injury.
DeWanna Bonner set career highs in almost every category, including with 20.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game, but the Mercury labored without their other stars and finished 7-27.
But with the disappointing season came a bit of luck: Despite having the league's second-worst record behind Washington, Phoenix won the WNBA lottery for the top pick in this year's draft.
The Mercury, after playing coy heading into the draft, made the selection everyone expected and took Griner, one of the most highly touted players to ever enter the WNBA.
The two-time AP player of the year was a game-changing force in four years at Baylor, dunking with ease, swatting and altering shots, piling up points and rebounds.
In Phoenix, Griner joins a veteran team that's been successful, meaning she won't have to come in and have to do everything like she might have on a young, down-and-out team.
"I can limit her to rebound and block shots, learn as much as you can and play free without any pressure," Mercury coach and general manager Corey Gaines said. "That's better than everything being on her."
In seven disappointing seasons, the Sky have never reached the WNBA playoffs or even posted a winning record. Chicago is coming off a second straight 14-20 season. After winning seven of its first eight games, the team dropped 15 of the next 17 and slipped out of playoff contention.
But the addition of Delle Donne, the No. 2 pick in the draft, could be a game changer that helps the Sky finally turn the tide. A 6-foot, 5-inch All-American from Delaware, Delle Donne brings a scoring touch and versatility for a Sky team that has talent but has lacked consistency.
She averaged 26 points and 8.5 rebounds a game, leading Delaware to its first NCAA Sweet 16 appearance. A two-time All-American, she finished with 3,039 career points, fifth highest in NCAA women's basketball history.
"I think she's definitely key when you think about her talent, her skill set and her size," said Pokey Chatman, the team's third-year coach and general manager. "Then you talk about the deficiencies we had and she definitely addresses that. And (she's) a player who can swing to multiple positions."
Chicago +9 and Over 167.5.Honestly, I almost always bet a mercury total under 170. Phoenix play a very uptempo style where both teams are in a running game where points add up quickly. The mercury usually lead the wnba in scoring and points allowed because they simply do not defend for the length of the clock. why I think Chicago covers is simple Fowles is a better offensive player at this point than greiner and her post presence along with chicagos talents keeps it within the number. I wouldnt be surprised if chicago won outright
Saturday, May 25, 2013
Wnba Statistical Analysis Primer
The seattle storm page has the formulas listed as to how to calculate the effiency stats.
STORM: Statistical Analysis Primer
STORM: Statistical Analysis Primer
Thursday, May 23, 2013
Fever at Silver Stars Game - May 24, 2013
Honestly, this game is really who has enough bodies. The silverstars were already without Sophia Young and her 16 and 7 and even more importantly their best defensive player, and add becky hammon broke her finger Saturday and they have not determined how long she will be out. The silverstars will need their young core (adams, appel, robinson, and johnson ) to do a lot more to start the season. I cant see where they're going to get enough offense in this game. Indiana has a ton injuries as well Pohlen still recovering from an ACL, Davenport out 6-8 weeks with a stress fracture and Erin Phillips has torn a meniscus. But Catchings and Douglas are available for the Fever. I like Indiana and the -2.5 on the road
WNBA.com: Fever at Silver Stars Game Info - May 24, 2013
WNBA.com: Fever at Silver Stars Game Info - May 24, 2013
Friday, May 17, 2013
Thursday, May 9, 2013
Wednesday, May 8, 2013
Monday, May 6, 2013
Wednesday, April 24, 2013
Monday, April 8, 2013
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
WNBA.com: Lauren Jackson Will Not Play For Storm in 2013
WNBA.com: Lauren Jackson Will Not Play For Storm in 2013
This was before it was announced that Sue Bird will miss the season with a cyst on her knee. the strorm will be a team to stay away from or fade with the season ending injuries to their two best players. They may have a few more overs because Jackson and bird are two of the better defenders in the league.
This was before it was announced that Sue Bird will miss the season with a cyst on her knee. the strorm will be a team to stay away from or fade with the season ending injuries to their two best players. They may have a few more overs because Jackson and bird are two of the better defenders in the league.
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